To an extent you may be right. However, if you examine what has become of the two parties, how they have both reformulated themselves (the GOP more successfully) those predictions, although drastic and media-driven, have just about turned out correct. All the GOP has to do is sneeze in order to win an election, practically, while the Dems have to figure out all sorts of “strategies”—something they have become worse at doing each year—in order to make any headway.